Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- User PnL
- -$41.63
Polymarket Trader
Abadi20206
0x2bee89dcb2eae3616ad3e87ff3a0e730fd2766d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.52
- Realized PnL
- $611.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $374
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $102.04
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $29.2
- Potential payout
- $80.01
- Potential profit
- $50.81
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $61.22
- Potential profit
- $52.35
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$21.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $29.73
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $24.82
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $29.81
- Potential payout
- $38.96
- Potential profit
- $9.16
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.23
- Potential profit
- $26.23
- User PnL
- -$16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.86
- Potential profit
- $25.86
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.59
- Potential profit
- $24.59
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $15.45
- Potential payout
- $18.07
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $17.45
- Potential payout
- $17.71
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.92
- Potential profit
- $16.92
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.85
- Potential profit
- $16.85
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.48
- Potential profit
- $16.48
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 55% 54.55 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 77% 38.96 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 83% 60.24 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No 55% 54.55 shares
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 83% 18.07 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes 13.7% 301 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 96% 17.71 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 72% 8.33 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 11.31 shares