Polymarket Trader

xlag7pf8tsmz

0x2bf21427f5034351692b7b83640f923d8323bace

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.42
Realized PnL: $174.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $831.91
Potential profit: $828.58
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$5.82

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $507.15
Potential profit: $504.36
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $107.97
Potential profit: $106.72
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $10.24
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $6.39
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $2.24
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be red?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 96.1% 0.12 shares
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

No 98% 1.12 shares
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 0.8% 131.12 shares
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 97.2% 0.03 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 0.9% 122.22 shares
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 99.9% 0.57 shares
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 97.2% 0.02 shares
Will "Baby" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?

Yes 0.8% 135.24 shares
Will "Paradise" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?

Yes 1.9% 57.54 shares
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 99.9% 1.1 shares
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 96.1% 3.54 shares
Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 99.9% 1.1 shares