Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Polymarket Trader
0x2bFd3738d0298174DFA80a1202f8156fa739C4cD-1781251227849
0x2bfd3738d0298174dfa80a1202f8156fa739c4cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.45
- Realized PnL
- $47.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $21.32
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.47
- Potential payout
- $17.48
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $17.05
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $14.7
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $12.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$2.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.91
- Potential payout
- $8.92
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$3.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.91
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 14?Yes 45% 6.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 14?No 41% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 14?Yes 28% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 14?No 65% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on July 14?No 94.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 14?No 82.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?Yes 46% 5.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14?No 64% 7.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 14?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 14?No 56% 5.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 14?No 93% 5 shares