Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $615.38
- Potential profit
- $615.38
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
Apple.pie
0x2c00936506dfd590137fd59d2533f76da4ff2fdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.58
- Realized PnL
- -$243.89
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $34.69
- Potential payout
- $533.65
- Potential profit
- $498.97
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$57.69
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.26
- Potential profit
- $194.26
- User PnL
- -$12.93
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $22.66
- Potential profit
- $21.77
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.75
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.4
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$73
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$185.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 0.2% 577.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 3.4% 56.76 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 1.1% 272.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 11% 2.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 11% 46.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 13.7% 71.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 8% 137.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3.6% 304.69 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 187.49 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes 2.6% 76.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 91% 4.63 shares