Polymarket Trader

kataztrove

0x2c0592398a774cb742fdb5374967fa039e53d268

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.43
Realized PnL: $273.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 19?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $713.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.64

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315.73
Potential profit: $315.73
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.18
Potential profit: $218.18
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.13
Potential profit: $176.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$5

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $126.51
Potential profit: $123.6
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $84.73
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $75.15
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.96

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.66
Potential profit: $72.66
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.04
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $63.35
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.04
Potential profit: $69.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.13
Potential profit: $58.13
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.14
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $53.72
Potential profit: $51.66
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$2.93

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.43
Potential profit: $43.43
User PnL: -$6

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$20

Kraken position

Lightning vs. Kraken

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.47
Potential profit: $39.47
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Solana reach $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $29.13
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$0.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.22

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Golden Knights

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.22

Yes position

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.04

Iowa Hawkeyes position

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Stars position

Stars vs. Avalanche

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Islanders position

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Blues position

Blues vs. Hurricanes

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Maple Leafs position

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Wild position

Wild vs. Blackhawks

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Utah

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

TCU Horned Frogs position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Iowa Hawkeyes position

Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 10% 70 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

No 4% 126.51 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?

Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 14.9% 33.53 shares
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?

Yes 7.1% 70.42 shares
Will Solana reach $80 in July?

No 26% 38.46 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?

Yes 9.3% 53.72 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 34% 14.71 shares
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?

No 47.1% 10.61 shares
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?

Yes 50% 20 shares