Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $876.96
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$623.03
Polymarket Trader
Ilove2qq
0x2c1920825d27c31d07232ba5036af9f0d6cce131
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- $11.83K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$499.32
Yes position
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.9%
- Current value
- $213.84
- Potential payout
- $305.92
- Potential profit
- $92.08
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$34.76
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.66
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.12
Yes position
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 30% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 41% 243.9 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 2,678.57 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio CobolliFelix Auger-Aliassime 52% 2,884.62 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 1,111.48 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 22.9% 2,182.63 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes 10.1% 990.46 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 39% 1,282.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 14% 3,571.43 shares
- Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Yes 81.3% 305.92 shares
- Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 24?Yes 15.5% 644.38 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 22% 455.45 shares