Polymarket Trader

rocky42015

0x2c1a7a67e6f71bd61a616841f54ae0df8e8d42d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.53K
Realized PnL: $23.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$46.85

Yes position

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $118.7
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$11.56

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$25.26

Ronaldo position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $73.45
Potential payout: $979.3
Potential profit: $905.85
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$35.44

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $289.75
Potential payout: $891.53
Potential profit: $601.78
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$25.73

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $206.94
Potential payout: $844.64
Potential profit: $637.7
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$63.34

Yes position

Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $793.15
Potential profit: $786.41
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $246.51
Potential payout: $593.99
Potential profit: $347.49
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $32.82
Potential payout: $560.99
Potential profit: $528.17
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $517.3
Potential profit: $516.27
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$5.69

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $261.98
Potential payout: $499
Potential profit: $237.02
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$28.75

No position

Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $25.71
Potential payout: $467.49
Potential profit: $441.78
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$60.9

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $279.48
Potential payout: $461.94
Potential profit: $182.47
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $29

No position

Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $198.23
Potential payout: $445.46
Potential profit: $247.23
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$59.81

No position

Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $103.12
Potential payout: $438.8
Potential profit: $335.68
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$7.05

No position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $251.63
Potential payout: $437.63
Potential profit: $185.99
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $437.35
Potential profit: $436.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.41

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $27.15
Potential payout: $417.75
Potential profit: $390.6
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.09

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $270.72
Potential payout: $383.99
Potential profit: $113.28
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $21.12

Yes position

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $370.82
Potential profit: $365.45
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$103.65

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $114.88
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $244.12
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$42.88

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $296.1
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $295.5
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$14.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Frites Esports Club position

LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group F

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Over position

Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

FC København vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Over position

Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.12

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $983.56

No position

Will AC Monza win on 2026-05-08?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.53

Yes position

Will CA Platense win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.7

Over position

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.25

Over position

Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $912.63

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $911.77

Yes position

Will Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.04

Over position

Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861.23

Samsung Lions position

KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.37

Kamil Majchrzak position

Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.72

Team WE position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $851.26

Liverpool FC position

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.7

Over position

Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.67

Yes position

Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.92

Matej Dodig position

Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodig

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 58% 20 shares
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 58% 20 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

No 44% 10 shares
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?

Yes 5% 32.1 shares
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?

Yes 5% 300 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 6.8% 16 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 80% 105 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?

Yes 18% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?

Yes 49% 14 shares
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

Under 41% 169 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 32% 76 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 67% 134 shares