Polymarket Trader

RegThinks

0x2c250c1a1401f13e0367ec7e711add5e270f87c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $146.06
Realized PnL: $1.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.34
Potential profit: $451.34
User PnL: -$197.9

Princeton Tigers position

Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakers

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357
Potential profit: $357
User PnL: -$182.07

Yes position

Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $295
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.79
Potential profit: $219.79
User PnL: -$59.95

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.2
Potential profit: $203.2
User PnL: -$71.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.14
Potential profit: $136.14
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.53
Potential profit: $112.53
User PnL: -$78.59

No position

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $71.38
Potential payout: $108.98
Potential profit: $37.6
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Olympics" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.68
Potential profit: $106.68
User PnL: -$10.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.7
Potential profit: $104.7
User PnL: -$31.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$7.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.74
Potential profit: $93.74
User PnL: -$49.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.38
Potential profit: $86.38
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.27
Potential profit: $81.27
User PnL: -$54.61

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $63.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $11.48
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $68.52
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $0.3

Kansas Jayhawks position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.67
Potential profit: $79.67
User PnL: -$31.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.12
Potential profit: $71.12
User PnL: -$25.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.98
Potential profit: $66.98
User PnL: -$33.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.61
Potential profit: $62.61
User PnL: -$22.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.65
Potential profit: $59.65
User PnL: -$26.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.76
Potential profit: $57.76
User PnL: -$31.88

Sasnovich position

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.41
Potential profit: $56.41
User PnL: -$42.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.83

No position

Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.95

Heroic position

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 14% 20 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

No 64% 20 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 14% 60 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

No 65% 60 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 90% 40 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

No 89.9% 40 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 80% 34 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 91% 40 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 48% 40 shares
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

No 64% 108.98 shares
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas Jayhawks 39% 79.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?

Yes 33.7% 12.25 shares