LBZbot

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$413.74

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $571.51
Potential payout: $603.18
Potential profit: $31.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $25.67

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $428.1
Potential payout: $465.33
Potential profit: $37.23
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $43.85

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $392.09
Potential payout: $392.28
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $30.31

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $91.61
Potential profit: $86.11
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$20.24

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $88.34
Potential payout: $88.56
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $81.48
Potential profit: $79.44
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $23.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $56.8
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.92
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $70.45
Potential profit: $70.17
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $67.4
Potential payout: $68.56
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.05

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $67.95
Potential profit: $67.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.48

Yes position

Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $66.48
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $65.8
Potential profit: $64.78
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $63.24
Potential profit: $62.99
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $41.69
Potential payout: $62.22
Potential profit: $20.53
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $15.76

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $13.48
Potential payout: $61.25
Potential profit: $47.78
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.21
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$6.81

No position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $54.75
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $59.97
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $23.87
Potential payout: $59.67
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.17
Potential profit: $59.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $46.83
Potential profit: $46.78
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.62

No position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.34

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.08

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.35

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.21

Down position

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.04

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34

Canada position

First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Czechia position

First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.86

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.83

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.33

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.03

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $13.02

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.56

Italy position

First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italy

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?