Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
vitchy404
0x2c3e642e830738599dcd198ebdb2f5392087b777
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.45
- Realized PnL
- $4.51
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $18.13
- Potential profit
- $17.63
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Cagliari be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 85% 1.65 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 91.6% 1.2 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7.5% 18.13 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 9 shares
- New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes 52% 2 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes 50% 2 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.2% 2 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.9% 2 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 49% 2 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes 50% 2 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 2 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 2 shares