Polymarket Trader

Mosurt6

0x2c3fd994e73c88dd5e0a3ddb328e8dce44a97176

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.49
Realized PnL: $16.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $27.62
Potential payout: $28.06
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $12.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $11.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.46
Potential payout: $11.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.67
Potential profit: $9.67
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $8.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $6.75
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $4.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.82

Guy Den Ouden position

Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dan Added

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 74°F or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Clavicular in jail by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Snowflake say "Retention" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Snowflake say "Partnership" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Is John McAfee alive?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dan Added

Guy Den Ouden 98% 3.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 11?

No 98% 8.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?

No 94.9% 12.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?

No 96% 11.46 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

No 99.4% 15.09 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.3% 32.92 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

No 95.9% 2.89 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 83% 4.82 shares
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

No 93.7% 4.27 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 97.5% 5.13 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 90% 6.67 shares
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 96.9% 11.73 shares