0x2c40...4e32

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.89
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?