Polymarket Trader

0x2C42a3195C7dc848ae356EaC3688a13C1591f74A-1715710097817

0x2c42a3195c7dc848ae356eac3688a13c1591f74a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.68K
Realized PnL: $265.96
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $256.76
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $263.93

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$214.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $623.91
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $442.6
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $234.8

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $198.15
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $172.22
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $23.63
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $201.38
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$41.37

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.55
Potential profit: $197.55
User PnL: -$100.75

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $48.36
Potential payout: $145.02
Potential profit: $96.65
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $72.04
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $67.04
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$12.96

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.99
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.77
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $11.52
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.31

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.12

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.31

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.87

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.35

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.68

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.09

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Della Maddalena position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.76

Yes position

Iran military response by Monday?

Ends Aug 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 54% 370.37 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 128.2 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 15.38 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 60% 16.67 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 60% 16.67 shares
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 34.5% 145.02 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 76.92 shares
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Yes 99% 50 shares