Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.89K
- Potential profit
- $888.89K
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
Polymarket Trader
ololololololololo
0x2c4ca29d332c67d3ad7bf22b3cfe9486e3b1cb39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.12
- Realized PnL
- $290.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.61K
- Potential profit
- $462.61K
- User PnL
- -$4.09K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.57K
- Potential profit
- $197.57K
- User PnL
- -$790.27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.93K
- Potential profit
- $186.93K
- User PnL
- -$7.49K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.64K
- Potential profit
- $159.64K
- User PnL
- -$129.24K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.98K
- Potential profit
- $154.98K
- User PnL
- -$19.26K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.78K
- Potential profit
- $77.78K
- User PnL
- -$4.78K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.78K
- Potential profit
- $77.78K
- User PnL
- -$3.87K
Yes position
Was Milei hacked?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.08K
- Potential profit
- $69.08K
- User PnL
- -$3.83K
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.85K
- Potential profit
- $65.85K
- User PnL
- -$197.5
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $60K
- User PnL
- -$6.9K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.55K
- Potential profit
- $57.55K
- User PnL
- -$6.91K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.9K
- Potential profit
- $53.9K
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.6K
- Potential profit
- $53.6K
- User PnL
- -$8.82K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.4K
- Potential profit
- $43.4K
- User PnL
- -$16.89K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.36K
- Potential profit
- $33.36K
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $33.33K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.2K
- Potential profit
- $32.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.64K
- User PnL
- -$494.76
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.6K
- Potential profit
- $28.6K
- User PnL
- -$21.35K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.44K
- Potential profit
- $25.44K
- User PnL
- -$2.71K
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $87.12
- Potential payout
- $24.89K
- Potential profit
- $24.8K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$403.9
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.46K
- Potential profit
- $22.46K
- User PnL
- -$2.92K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.45K
- Potential profit
- $22.45K
- User PnL
- -$5.15K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.33K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.68K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.68K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.87K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.15K
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1K
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83K
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be the most reposted of all time?
Ends Jan 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 227.89 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 15.9% 178.8 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 45% 2,528.13 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 8% 29,653.94 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes 19% 802.61 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes 8% 5,555 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 7% 1,037.97 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes 8% 7,777 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No 3.1% 13,352.94 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 7% 1,819.28 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 23% 15 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 13% 824.21 shares