No position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
xiong3
0x2c51fbe22e927644a2ea2ee0a3b34f6860e26c71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.37
- Realized PnL
- $605.98
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $177
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $185.29
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$42.98
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $165
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $51.49
- Potential payout
- $123.92
- Potential profit
- $72.43
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $70.18
- Potential profit
- $60.35
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$30.18
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.5
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.88
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$12.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 1,208.52 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 1,208.52 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.3% 123.92 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 80% 67.5 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 57% 70.18 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 26% 192.31 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 89% 5,553.43 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 97.2% 161.04 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 30.3% 165 shares