Polymarket Trader

0x2C6C8619359C840De200EA73f4bB03b23961057d-1772459688652

0x2c6c8619359c840de200ea73f4bb03b23961057d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $147.72
Realized PnL: $833.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $22.2
Potential payout: $315.27
Potential profit: $293.08
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$37.8

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $237.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $68.81
Potential payout: $181.08
Potential profit: $112.27
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $8.81

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $25.21
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $17.16
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.43
Potential profit: $7.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250.55

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.76

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.82

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.42

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.22

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.26

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.73

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.38

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 37% 81.08 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 312.44 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 838.81 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 59% 42.37 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 86.6% 96.34 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 29% 172.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 64% 94.52 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22.4% 312.45 shares