No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.01K
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $94.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $418.14
Polymarket Trader
Dumdum-1758369151829
0x2c97a96bf29d78565673cfeeb23b144aaf7d202d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.19K
- Realized PnL
- $9.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$277.5
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$245
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $33.89
- Potential profit
- $32.48
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$6.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $982.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.95
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.91
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.2
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.9
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.1
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.31
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.23
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.99
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.51
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.82
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.85
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.18
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.95
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.04
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.07
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.6
Over position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 72.8% 140 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 90% 6.91 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 90% 56.1 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 63% 100 shares
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes 26% 200 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 45% 200 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 95% 500 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 92% 100 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 91.9% 100 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 95% 45 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 94.9% 30 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 80.3% 464 shares