Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $835.79
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $271.22
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $138.38
Polymarket Trader
turkerburak
0x2c9abbe8222ba38ae797168953ee336b5a77f183
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.56K
- Realized PnL
- $5.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $313.17
- Potential payout
- $908
- Potential profit
- $594.83
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$22.79
No position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $160.68
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $45.32
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $164.24
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $2.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $28.97
Yes position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.7%
- Current value
- $80.03
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $71.97
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$32.76
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.27
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $78.74
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $738.82
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons position
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.84
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.07
South Dakota Coyotes position
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.75
Yes position
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $308.5
Yes position
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.33
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils position
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.58
No position
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.5
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.51
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.79
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.49
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.67
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.36
No position
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.93
Y
Yes position
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.7
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.82
No position
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $75.18
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.35
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.07
No position
Will "The Rip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.92
Yes position
Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.66
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.89
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 85% 642 shares
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?No 84% 580 shares
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 64% 163 shares
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 64% 650 shares
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 64% 813 shares
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?No 84% 580 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 82% 79 shares
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 99.8% 697 shares
- Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No 61% 911 shares
- Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 66% 206 shares
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 63% 697 shares