No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $16.35
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
0x2c9b...9e33
0x2c9bd7154520078401af3e690df9f4c199c99e33
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $149.24
- Realized PnL
- -$2.97
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $16.29
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $16.92
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $16.46
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.97
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $16.8
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
N
No position
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 96.2% 17 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95.9% 17 shares
- Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No 91% 17 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 17 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 90% 17 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 96% 17 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 91% 15 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.4% 17 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No 91.3% 17 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 97.3% 15 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?No 89.3% 17 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?No 98.1% 17 shares