No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $226.65
- Potential profit
- $225.06
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$6.41
Polymarket Trader
Verna2178
0x2ca730dc3a70fd6f33ca8ae92a1fbb13e190514d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.26
- Realized PnL
- $129.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $129.55
- Potential profit
- $128.65
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $116.83
- Potential profit
- $115.37
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $85.74
- Potential profit
- $84.8
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $61.58
- Potential profit
- $60.13
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$14.55
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $52.35
- Potential profit
- $51.59
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.04
- Potential profit
- $22.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.1
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $11.43
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 28% 17.86 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 6.7% 14.93 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No 4.5% 22.01 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?No 9.3% 10.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No 14% 35.71 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?No 9.2% 54.35 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 7% 71.6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No 3.2% 157.2 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 1.3% 76.92 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No 3.7% 27.03 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 6.3% 15.87 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?No 9.4% 10.64 shares