Yes position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- $9.74
Polymarket Trader
stormshadow
0x2ca9149f3b481a56d128c002b1c06591e8e8b942
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.82K
- Realized PnL
- $17.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $178.52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$10.45
No position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $155.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $36.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?
Ends Dec 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.97
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.03
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715.11
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.04
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.98
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.2
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.66
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.87
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.43
No position
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.99
No position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.28
No position
U.S. recession before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.74
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.2
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.04
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.1
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.17
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 94% 370.45 shares
- Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?No 99.6% 350.53 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 93% 327.75 shares
- Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?No 99.6% 307 shares
- Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No 92.8% 67.29 shares
- Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?No 99.6% 63 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 94% 739.71 shares
- Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?No 99.6% 700 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 94% 394.76 shares
- Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?No 99.7% 373.16 shares
- Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 99.5% 1,004.77 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 94% 26.49 shares