Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $710.75
- Potential payout
- $967
- Potential profit
- $256.26
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $130.55
Polymarket Trader
38920
@selfish35524573
0x2cb0f113ff9eb4cf35312bf1f663d3dc74870d4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $932.07
- Realized PnL
- $2.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $96.73
- Potential payout
- $365
- Potential profit
- $268.28
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$20.08
No position
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $75.81
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $40.86
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $312.36
Yes position
Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $280.6
No position
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-03-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.6
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.96
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197.79
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.65
Yes position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.5
No position
Will Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.81
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $141.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.9
No position
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.2
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.08
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.9
No position
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.08
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.94
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $49.56
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.09
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" or "Bean" in Rome, GA on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.3
Yes position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.41
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
Will Tony Gonzales be the Republican nominee for TX-23?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 68% 24 shares
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 56% 667 shares
- T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Afghanistan WinnerNo 1.1% 808 shares
- T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Afghanistan WinnerNo 87.9% 808 shares
- Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-03-28?No 65% 776 shares
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No 85% 382 shares
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No 85% 599 shares
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No 85% 812 shares
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No 61% 322 shares
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No 61% 712 shares
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No 86% 1,793 shares
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No 71% 1,034 shares