No position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.07K
- Potential profit
- $18.07K
- User PnL
- -$89.92
Polymarket Trader
billc4ke
0x2cbe9a60d957266c3a80b80e881d96c2aaa6e435
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $205.72
- Realized PnL
- $180.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $373.65
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.31
- Potential profit
- $172.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.5
- Potential profit
- $104.5
- User PnL
- -$20
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.75
- Potential profit
- $68.75
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $40.67
- Potential payout
- $59.8
- Potential profit
- $19.14
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $53.39
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.77
- Potential profit
- $50.77
- User PnL
- -$39.59
Yes position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $25.33
- Potential payout
- $49.18
- Potential profit
- $23.85
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$4.67
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $35.23
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.8
- Potential profit
- $44.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $31.96
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.81
- Potential profit
- $42.81
- User PnL
- -$19.69
No position
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.8%
- Current value
- $20.99
- Potential payout
- $39.75
- Potential profit
- $18.76
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Yes position
Will Enrique Leaño win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.13
- Potential profit
- $37.13
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.62
- Potential profit
- $36.62
- User PnL
- -$29.64
Yes position
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.13
- Potential profit
- $36.13
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.74
- Potential profit
- $35.74
- User PnL
- -$29.66
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $7.64
- Potential payout
- $34.74
- Potential profit
- $27.09
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.19
- Potential profit
- $32.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.15
- Potential profit
- $32.15
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.35
- Potential profit
- $31.35
- User PnL
- -$21.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.92
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
No position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 1?No 77% 45.45 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No 62.9% 39.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 77% 51.95 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?No 81% 37.04 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No 79% 44.3 shares