Polymarket Trader

TheJewishHammer

0x2cc133f81a8ba9aca82341153dc71b09cb203e21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $462.02
Realized PnL: $1.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $233.14
Potential payout: $548.57
Potential profit: $315.43
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $46.36

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $429.34
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $114.15
Potential payout: $330.98
Potential profit: $216.82
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $330.3
Potential profit: $327.99
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $122.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $129.68
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.79
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $86.9
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.92
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $66.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.35
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $50.82
Potential payout: $64.74
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $63.68
Potential profit: $56.83
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.13
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.38
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.58
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $35.99
Potential profit: $32.75
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $2.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.59

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.79

Yes position

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.42

Yes position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.75

Hawks position

Pacers vs. Hawks

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.55

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.9

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.33

Morgan State Bears position

Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.67

Favbet position

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.56

MASONIC position

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group B

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.89

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.82

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.32

Hawks position

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.27

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 2% 20 shares
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 0.7% 133.51 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 15 shares
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?

Yes 1% 42.5 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 100 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 150 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 16% 35 shares
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 62 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 11% 10 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 10 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 2% 40 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 51% 10 shares