Polymarket Trader

wanr45

0x2cc48d6f150a1d5523a5ed38a0cafa50a44b9d29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $708.8
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$480

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$109.8

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $261.97
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$59.96

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$128.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$47.58

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $952.38
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $65.69
Potential payout: $864.4
Potential profit: $798.71
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: -$74.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.99
Potential profit: $639.99
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $169.36
Potential payout: $604.85
Potential profit: $435.49
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$17.14

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481.9
Potential profit: $481.9
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470.92
Potential profit: $470.92
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.99
Potential profit: $389.99
User PnL: -$226.19

Yes position

Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $155.63
Potential payout: $384.27
Potential profit: $228.64
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$206.9

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.22
Potential profit: $296.22
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.26
Potential profit: $289.26
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.41
Potential profit: $287.41
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $56.16
Potential payout: $244.16
Potential profit: $188
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$5.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.23
Potential profit: $229.23
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.57

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.42

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.22

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.15

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.59

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.02

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.71

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.96

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.75

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.26

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Falcons

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

Patriots position

Giants vs. Patriots

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

Yes 8% 43.01 shares
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?

Yes 10% 16.32 shares
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

Yes 7.8% 14.99 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 58% 310.34 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 961.54 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?

3.2% 1,562.5 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 33% 303.03 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 52.4% 190.71 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 21.2% 470.92 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 32% 15.63 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 35% 14.29 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 31.6% 79.04 shares