Polymarket Trader

redberry

0x2ccdf2be7f90d46ca0416c553894a6421b813055

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.91K
Realized PnL: $1.52K
Win rate: 95.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $349.39
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $62.42

Yes position

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $208.23
Potential payout: $785.76
Potential profit: $577.53
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$189.23

Yes position

Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.85
Potential profit: $689.85
User PnL: -$489.61

Yes position

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $489.14
Potential profit: $489.14
User PnL: -$305.6

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $149.68
User PnL: -$112.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.97

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177

No position

Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.06

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.95

No position

Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.83

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.22

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.53

No position

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.55

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.43

Yes position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.76

No position

Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.69

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.15

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.71

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.34

No position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.56

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

No position

Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$282.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 80% 1,979.25 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 79% 76 shares
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?

Yes 56% 100 shares
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?

No 95.8% 152.74 shares
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?

No 95.7% 187.68 shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?

Yes 92% 1,415.22 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

No 96% 1,126.14 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

No 93% 1,126.15 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 79% 15.44 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 73% 62 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 79% 30 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 78% 95.42 shares