Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $217.57
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$47.42
Polymarket Trader
paulco
0x2ccf410b2ade702c72a5e369542ac62d0f99809c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $593.91
- Realized PnL
- $579.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $97.84
- Potential payout
- $931.86
- Potential profit
- $834.01
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$96.84
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $53
- Potential payout
- $557.84
- Potential profit
- $504.85
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $31.34
- Potential payout
- $467.71
- Potential profit
- $436.38
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$20.66
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $423.97
- Potential profit
- $404.9
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$68.89
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.64
- Potential profit
- $363.64
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.17
- Potential profit
- $270.17
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.26
- Potential profit
- $241.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.69
- Potential profit
- $207.69
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $22.31
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $131.54
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$17.69
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $152.78
- Potential payout
- $152.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $102.78
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.73
- Potential profit
- $131.73
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.44
- Potential profit
- $112.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.19
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.15
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 7.1% 1,766.19 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 14.2% 704.4 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 26% 153.85 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?Yes 1.4% 1,060.53 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 14.4% 207.69 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 25% 80 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17.9% 557.84 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 21% 831.86 shares
- Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 199.86 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 36% 111.11 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes 59% 169.49 shares