Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $145.86
- Potential profit
- $142.16
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Polymarket Trader
0x2cD08Fd366105BcaF5B1e049461ABEF08c74F897-1782143691535
0x2cd08fd366105bcaf5b1e049461abef08c74f897
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.33
- Realized PnL
- $19.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $84.91
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $35.97
- Potential profit
- $30.99
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $28.86
- Potential profit
- $28.18
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $19.72
- Potential profit
- $9.78
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Will "UFC" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 22?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $19.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $12.14
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $12.44
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.48
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 38% 5.26 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 30.8% 6.48 shares
- Will "UFC" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 22?Yes 77.9% 19.25 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 65% 23.08 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 97.6% 7.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.9% 11.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 17% 11.76 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.1% 8.8 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 86.96 shares