Polymarket Trader

Marhal

@6J9T4LtyEUxcDsP

0x2cd1d246218791da21cfa0663ff2f05903daaae1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.45K
Realized PnL: $139.9
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $212.13
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $36.22

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $47.1
Potential payout: $50.81
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $45.16
Potential payout: $45.73
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.54
Potential profit: $27.54
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.7
Potential profit: $22.7
User PnL: -$19.1

No position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.93
Potential profit: $17.93
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $13.64
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Ja Morant be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$7.17

Avalanche position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.44
Potential profit: $8.44
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$5

Alexander Zverev position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$4.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.41

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 98.4% 45.73 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 92.5% 50.81 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84.2% 1,571.35 shares
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Avalanche 64% 8.44 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?

No 99.3% 1,412.33 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.4% 1,331.97 shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 80% 5.88 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 70% 28.6 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

No 86% 17.44 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.5% 1,331.98 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

No 99.6% 1,375.5 shares