Polymarket Trader

capitals

0x2cd3707ad9f72d22925a17cfbe8c4311d8cc4413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.64
Realized PnL: $8.37
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $26.55
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $10.75
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 34% 20 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 36% 16.67 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 93.8% 10.62 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 14% 20 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76.7% 6.52 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 90% 11.11 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.1% 10.63 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 68% 7.5 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 80% 7.5 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Yes 93.9% 1.06 shares
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Yes 93.9% 1.06 shares