Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $448.91
- Potential profit
- $448.91
- User PnL
- -$163
Polymarket Trader
AceUngart
0x2cdc5c7411eedd4c4abc5173e8369ea77214df7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.58
- Realized PnL
- $720.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.87
- Potential profit
- $285.87
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.68
- Potential profit
- $282.68
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $21.01
- Potential payout
- $85.76
- Potential profit
- $64.75
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $84.27
- Potential profit
- $84.14
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$39.87
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$11.2
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $57.22
- Potential profit
- $44.78
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- -$37.55
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.25
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.42
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.52
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.78
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Up position
XRP Up or Down on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.36
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.88
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.88
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.09
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 50% 52 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 32.7% 76.38 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 80% 62.93 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 32% 9.38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 47.5% 84.27 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?No 14% 25 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 48% 41.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 23% 102.04 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 133.33 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 87.4% 57.22 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 49% 102.04 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 100 shares