No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $565.78
- Potential payout
- $582.98
- Potential profit
- $17.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $65.78
Polymarket Trader
0x2cEcE679F2aDfB239Abe2BbAD380Bf1F4cf3809e-1772480051321
0x2cece679f2adfb239abe2bbad380bf1f4cf3809e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $2.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.43
- Potential profit
- $421.43
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.94
- Potential profit
- $349.94
- User PnL
- -$254.32
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $214
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $8.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $202.68
- Potential payout
- $207.13
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.68
Yes position
Will Oliver Glasner be the next manager of AC Milan?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.81
- Potential profit
- $159.81
- User PnL
- -$139.48
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.93
- Potential profit
- $65.93
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Unai Emery be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$25.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.41
- Potential profit
- $51.41
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.18
- Potential profit
- $48.18
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.1
- Potential profit
- $48.1
- User PnL
- -$24.53
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $39.13
- Potential payout
- $39.67
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.13
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.1
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- User PnL
- -$16
Amanda Anisimova position
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $34.53
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.01
- Potential profit
- $33.01
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Maya Joint position
Roland Garros WTA: Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapova
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.63
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.1
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.51
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.23
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.89
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.69
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.39
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.01
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.46
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.17
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.57
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.39
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.21
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.95
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.85
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.43
Anastasia Potapova position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.9
Yes position
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes 26% 15.38 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes 80% 31.25 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 71% 42.25 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 71% 42.25 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 37% 240.96 shares
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 59.6% 50.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92.1% 217.13 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 83% 240.96 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 47% 17.02 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 60.24 shares