Polymarket Trader

vladius3

0x2cf7ea94f3ad6bdb4668ce5409aa233703f3294a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.71K
Realized PnL: $6.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $6.48K
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$310.45

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.03K
Potential payout: $5.48K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $83.44

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $306.57
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$42.71

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $298.54
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $48.55

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $51.47
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $267.75
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $88.28

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $145.83
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $149.29
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $49.29

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $111.06
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $426.45
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $39.28

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $166.3
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $16.31

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $121.07
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $46.07

No position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $932.99
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $878.65
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$71.38

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $990.12
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $793.88
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$8.92

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $93.97
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$56.03

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$1.11K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $234.47
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $84.48

Yes position

Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $14.36
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$35.64

Yes position

Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $25.8
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$24.2

Yes position

Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $49.16
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.84

No position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $508.95
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $661.05
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $45.09
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$4.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $841.92

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.46

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $713.41

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.84

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.08

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.33

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.16

No position

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.29

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.45

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.04

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.33

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.69

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.85

No position

Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.79

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.24

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.68

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.3

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.66

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Nigma Galaxy 52% 96.15 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 64% 78.13 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

No 2.2% 102.04 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

No 41% 121.95 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

No 40% 125 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

No 49% 102.04 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

No 34% 138.88 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

No 36% 138.89 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

No 27% 185.19 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 73% 1,700 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 71% 704 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares