Polymarket Trader

JohnSmith9919

0x2cfa1c848b7b35afe5cdc40e0bcab832fb681788

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.73
Realized PnL: $125.28
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63K
Potential profit: $63K
User PnL: -$63

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.78
Potential profit: $133.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.64
Potential profit: $125.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $42.18
Potential payout: $69.14
Potential profit: $26.96
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Will anyone say "Jerry" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.36
Potential profit: $53.36
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $53.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.16
Potential profit: $46.16
User PnL: -$3.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.73
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Yes 63.3% 69.14 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

No 8.2% 53 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?

No 7% 62.22 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 6% 66 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

No 5.5% 50 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

No 6% 51 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?

No 5% 50 shares
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?

No 1.7% 41.66 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

Yes 0.7% 16.53 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 144.28 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 412.71 shares