Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Polymarket Trader
xNightWanderer
0x2d0ad362313d552ea789218740e7d509a71ea3b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $268.22
- Realized PnL
- $2.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $980.5
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $86.49
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $488.22
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $36.49
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $469.29
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $23.02
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $442.09
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.8
- Potential profit
- $202.8
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $42.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $157.1
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $26.3
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $20.82
- Potential payout
- $150.33
- Potential profit
- $129.51
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $12.32
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $78.59
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $58.48
- Potential profit
- $49.68
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $55.32
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $48.06
- Potential profit
- $38.04
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $37.29
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $18.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.24
No position
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.46
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.71
Nets position
Nets vs. Celtics
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.59
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Jazz
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
Will Google dip to $270 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.78
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.16
Under position
Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Penguins position
Penguins vs. Wild
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.97
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Utah
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.04
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.71
Pelicans position
Hawks vs. Pelicans
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.25
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.45
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.73
Flyers position
Predators vs. Flyers
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Central Michigan position
Buffalo vs. Central Michigan
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.73
Avalanche position
Devils vs. Avalanche
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Islanders position
Islanders vs. Red Wings
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.52
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.19
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown 52% 20 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes 22.4% 44.66 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 26.8% 37.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 37% 81.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 49% 204.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 54.9% 72.86 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown 51% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp 32% 31.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown 57% 17.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp 13% 76.92 shares