No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $895.07
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $290.45
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $348.31
Polymarket Trader
daiphoenix
0x2d1d0e5efa7c221127cbbc70246d6dd4978a3585
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $27.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $290.51
- Potential payout
- $337.8
- Potential profit
- $47.29
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $111.47
No position
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $188.2
- Potential payout
- $210.28
- Potential profit
- $22.08
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $185.64
- Potential payout
- $196.65
- Potential profit
- $11.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.01
No position
New Half-Life game by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $162.87
- Potential payout
- $169.66
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $43.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
New Half-Life game by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No 35% 30 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 53% 337.8 shares
- New Half-Life game by March 31?No 93% 115.54 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 52.7% 32.27 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 52% 11 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 51% 14.28 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 50% 143.23 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 47% 138.21 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 46% 199.99 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 45% 352 shares
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No 90% 176.19 shares
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No 89% 34.09 shares