439ac2b2

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.05
Potential payout: $32.07
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.79
Potential payout: $31.8
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.53
Potential payout: $31.55
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.49
Potential payout: $31.5
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$5.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: -$5.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$2.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $2.3
User PnL: -$2.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?