Polymarket Trader

hanshangtao1

@hant00819155

0x2d3be554bd216ed2ce8353fd84e189d88c538027

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.42
Realized PnL: $155.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $14.9
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $8.63
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $8.56
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98
Potential profit: $4.98
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1
Potential profit: $4.1
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66
Potential profit: $3.66
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $3.12
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.8%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $1.74
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $1.65
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.06
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$0.99

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48
Potential profit: $1.48
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.58

Warriors position

Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

No position

Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-0?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

No position

Ripple above $2.40 on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

Bencic position

Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance)

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Solana above $260 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will RB Salzburg beat Real Madrid?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Ripple above $2.15 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Ripple above $2.00 on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Sabalenka position

Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemund

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Alcaraz position

Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 92% 3.12 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 14.9 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.5% 2.09 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.4% 2.14 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.8% 2.2 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.5% 1.12 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86% 1.74 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 94.3% 2.12 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 30.1% 6.2 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

No 92.3% 1.08 shares