Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
0x2d48...678c
0x2d48c834897176269fddde6043e566f6bbc1678c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $467.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $390.6
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $372.69
- Potential profit
- $372.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$188.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $269.46
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
N
No position
Will Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $231.08
- Potential profit
- $228.31
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.82
No position
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $27.72
- Potential payout
- $184.8
- Potential profit
- $157.08
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.18
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $176.05
- Potential profit
- $175.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$106.6
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $167.76
- Potential profit
- $164.57
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$26.86
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $147.63
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$19.74
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $125.91
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $25.91
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $99.38
- Potential payout
- $123.45
- Potential profit
- $24.07
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $23.37
- Potential payout
- $120.17
- Potential profit
- $96.8
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Y
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $104.4
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$59.2
N
No position
Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $112.84
- Potential profit
- $112.56
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.86
N
No position
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $112.52
- Potential profit
- $110.72
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $112.2
- Potential profit
- $111.47
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.03
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $109.32
- Potential profit
- $93.47
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$30.14
No position
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $108.66
- Potential profit
- $106.1
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.8
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.8
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $88.15
- Potential profit
- $77.52
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $31.95
- Potential payout
- $86.36
- Potential profit
- $54.4
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$24.62
N
No position
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $27.63
- Potential payout
- $86.35
- Potential profit
- $58.72
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $76.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $39.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $40.4
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.64
No position
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $207.67
Yes position
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.8
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.32x
- User PnL
- $127.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $80.87
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $51.64
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $48.16
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $36.35
Gonzalo Bueno position
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Vitaliy Sachko
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.92
N
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $34.03
No position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
Yes position
Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.66
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $29.52
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.09
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.28
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.16
Kyrian Jacquet position
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Lorenzo Giustino vs Kyrian Jacquet
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.95
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.15
Tommy Paul position
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $20.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 26% 34.27 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80% 4.23 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 2.95 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 74% 5.01 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73% 8.51 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69.7% 14.44 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69% 24.53 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 72% 41.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 71% 41.66 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 91% 39.47 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 86% 34.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 76% 38.46 shares