Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $474.5
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $825.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Polymarket Trader
0x2D4be995311b639E4485E4d7Cbf18C6f871bDD2E-1775617796970
0x2d4be995311b639e4485e4d7cbf18c6f871bdd2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $474.68
- Realized PnL
- $384.33
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.75
- Potential profit
- $85.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.89
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $18.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
FOKUS position
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Monte position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 1,300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 61% 461.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 107.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54% 383.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 57% 461.4 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 43% 615.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 43% 18.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 58% 3.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 41% 30.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 0.6% 833.33 shares