Polymarket Trader

0x2D5f6e7926e0C898819adC071D556Ca7EDd19C36-1775368955685

0x2d5f6e7926e0c898819adc071d556ca7edd19c36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.04K
Realized PnL: $58.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $356.49
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.23

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $173.42
Potential payout: $179.99
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$4.09

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $147.08
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $133.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $144.3
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $146.33
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $148.87
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $106.97
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.15
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $94.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $97.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $98.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $99.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $4.05

No position

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $96.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $49.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.6%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 47.3% 100 shares
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

No 90% 100 shares
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 97.2% 100 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 95.3% 20 shares
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99% 100 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 100 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 99.3% 72 shares
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 20 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Yes 97.9% 10 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 11.1% 10 shares
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 94.1% 5 shares
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?

No 98.2% 10.18 shares