Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.5K
- Potential profit
- $25.5K
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Polymarket Trader
generalVR
0x2d613c30614b68eada0a37d65bddf3778d981fa7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.38K
- Realized PnL
- $50.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.53K
- Potential profit
- $16.53K
- User PnL
- -$176.52
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $13.36K
- Potential payout
- $13.82K
- Potential profit
- $462.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $750.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $7.43K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $850.11
Yes position
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $8.62K
- User PnL
- -$3.37K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.58K
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $708.08
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- User PnL
- -$143.65
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $172.51
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $188.98
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$390
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.74K
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- User PnL
- $111.74
No position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $234.88
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $216.64
Yes position
Will Man I Need - Olivia Dean be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$31.88
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $159.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$77.88
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.52
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$487.2
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $152.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $92.95
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $140
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $81.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $27.48
No position
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $246.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $212.5
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $344
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $216
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.5
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 74% 35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24% 619 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24% 881.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 84% 1,071.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 31.8% 20,000 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 83% 502.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 3,576.12 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?No 18.1% 461.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 10.2% 1,128.48 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.3% 1,051.18 shares