Polymarket Trader

TomDebs

0x2d631265909bdd234bc9d63b6f487b567e16aa21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $611.59
Realized PnL: $6.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $56.03
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$46.94

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $32.88
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$69.96

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $244.27
Potential payout: $748.15
Potential profit: $503.88
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $126.27

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $38.19
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $239.58
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $188.89
Potential profit: $180.39
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $119.81
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$9.81

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.84
Potential payout: $116.13
Potential profit: $99.29
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$19.16

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $65.34
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $48.3
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $40.34

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $34.88
Potential payout: $86.65
Potential profit: $51.77
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $28.07
Potential payout: $81.4
Potential profit: $53.32
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$6.93

Yes position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $41.15
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $35.77
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $11.15

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $30.74
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $36.82
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $5.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.18

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.91

Kimberly Birrell position

Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.56

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.05

Yes position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.04

Yes position

Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.5

Adam Walton position

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.18

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.94

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.14

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.23

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.01

Jie Cui position

Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.33

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

En-Shuo Liang position

Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Taylah Preston

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.69

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.74

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.5

Federico Bondioli position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Nava

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.05

No position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.34

Andres Andrade position

Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andrade

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.27

Federica Urgesi position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesi

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.03

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cary: William Manning vs Michael Mmoh

William Manning 17% 82.35 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Jan-Lennard Struff 44% 56.82 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Over 15% 100 shares
Cary: Liam Broady vs Jack Kennedy

Jack Kennedy 34.5% 55.06 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmic

Dino Prizmic 7.9% 63.15 shares
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

Minnesota Twins 43% 58.14 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta 31% 61.29 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Under 23% 82.61 shares
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic

Yanaki Milev 8.9% 78.65 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhou

Guy Den Ouden 1.8% 278.11 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 41% 60.98 shares