shoobadooba18

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $355.02
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$14.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.35
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$18.35

Yes position

Will Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $30.43
Potential payout: $75.14
Potential profit: $44.71
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 26, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 24, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.7
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$15.7

No position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$12.25

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$25.18

Yes position

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$24.25

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.4
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$13.4

Yes position

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.73
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.75
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$25.75

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$33.5

Yes position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in June?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.6
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.48
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$15.98

No position

Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.38
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$14.88

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$28.25

Yes position

Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$10.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.06

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.87

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.7

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.6

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.94

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.78

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.95

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.23

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.12

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.49

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.14

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Trump resign in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.06

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?