Polymarket Trader

grv

0x2d701aafc79a3e801bb90f0105b2f27e401487cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.26
Realized PnL: $437.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.13
Potential profit: $61.13
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.01
Potential profit: $33.01
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $25.14
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $19.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $9.63

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $20.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

No position

Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.77

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Israel military strike against Iran in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.66

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.28

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Israel military action on Yemen before June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

GPT ads by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 30.2% 33.06 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 24.5% 61.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 88% 5.68 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 84% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 94% 26.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 78% 6.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 43% 11.63 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 71% 14.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Down 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 80% 31.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 79% 31.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Up 66% 37.88 shares