Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Polymarket Trader
0x2d7c...59af
0x2d7c8815504d7cdc4995737bf0acd5a9a54259af
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $68.12
- Realized PnL
- $28.56
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $9.41
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $17.55
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.9
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 18% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.1% 23 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96.3% 12 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 23% 7 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 97% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.1% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 35% 26 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 88% 14 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 12% 21 shares