Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $204.7
- Potential payout
- $552.5
- Potential profit
- $347.8
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $37.85
Polymarket Trader
SamsClub-VIP
0x2d811b8d15236dabe92b2f3610a01cc9dbcafe57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $10.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $386.17
- Potential profit
- $385.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$192.35
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.33
- Potential profit
- $262.33
- User PnL
- -$41.78
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $200.75
- Potential payout
- $211.2
- Potential profit
- $10.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $148.37
- Potential payout
- $175.59
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $35.92
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.9%
- Current value
- $106.14
- Potential payout
- $139.77
- Potential profit
- $33.63
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $20.52
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.94
- Potential profit
- $124.94
- User PnL
- -$42.89
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $75.09
- Potential payout
- $105.02
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $89.15
- Potential payout
- $94.49
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Current value
- $69.1
- Potential payout
- $84.12
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $32.47
- Potential payout
- $63.66
- Potential profit
- $31.19
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.77
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $48.25
- Potential payout
- $60.31
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $36.69
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $54.02
- Potential payout
- $55.86
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $55.72
- Potential profit
- $46.53
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $38.51
- Potential payout
- $53.86
- Potential profit
- $15.35
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $18.58
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.68
- Potential profit
- $35.68
- User PnL
- -$18.73
No position
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $32.97
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $28.21
- Potential payout
- $28.8
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $27.26
- Potential profit
- $23.03
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.63
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $20.96
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.22
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $9.09
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $5.81
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 17.9%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- Multiplier
- 5.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.08
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.13
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.29
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.87
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $$6,900 (HIGH) in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.14
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.37
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.02
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $295.92
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.43
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.99
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.55
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.46
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.79
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.59
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.99
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.16
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.75
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $142.66
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 62.4% 114.7 shares
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?Yes 95.1% 211.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.6% 98.28 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 878.66 shares
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming 71% 21.67 shares
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming 71% 21.67 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes 94% 328.38 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?No 87% 23.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 480 shares
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?No 14% 6.04 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2% 10.24 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 18% 0.91 shares