Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $324.41
- Potential payout
- $342.03
- Potential profit
- $17.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.41
Polymarket Trader
selters
0x2d84c85f506f8e5e7652a442653e5eaaa82472da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $873.26
- Realized PnL
- $1.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $234.81
- Potential payout
- $258.03
- Potential profit
- $23.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $34.81
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $191.15
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- User PnL
- $91.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $109.04
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $74.38
- Potential profit
- $62.11
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$12.73
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.85
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.88
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.6
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.63
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.76
No position
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.47
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.03
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.7
Yes position
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.77
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.2
No position
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.24
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.7
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.58
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.36
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.4
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.72
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.42
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.65
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.89
No position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.88
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.41
No position
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 52% 192.31 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 77.5% 258.03 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 73% 136.99 shares
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 35% 57.14 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No 92.3% 270.91 shares
- Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No 90.8% 330.32 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 28% 357.14 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes 90% 233.33 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No 28% 238.7 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?No 55% 227.27 shares