Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $185.18
- Potential payout
- $123.45K
- Potential profit
- $123.27K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $61.23
Polymarket Trader
Nayraunghkyi
0x2d85c3a19d354470eaeb88acb2f351783affa385
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $327.29
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.04K
- Potential profit
- $59.04K
- User PnL
- -$391.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.12K
- Potential profit
- $22.12K
- User PnL
- -$177.06
Yes position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.73K
- Potential profit
- $7.73K
- User PnL
- -$69.53
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $46.23
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$240
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$600.22
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$813.73
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$400.1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$238.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$426.77
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $12.78
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$7.22
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $12.78
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $959.5
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$328
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$244
No position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$79.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $616.51
Yes position
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.66
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.04
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.62
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.1
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.15
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
US military action against Iran by Thursday?
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.55
Yes position
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.59
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$113.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 87,990 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No 14% 666.66 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 35,463.1 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No 15% 666.67 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 71.3% 194.78 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 32% 1,111 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 31% 229.83 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 51% 60.2 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 66% 120 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 83% 20 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 35% 24.74 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 12% 2,000 shares