Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$22
Polymarket Trader
adamsitorust
0x2d91c9a020cea181557bbfc3241b411cdf3cf592
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.53
- Realized PnL
- $4.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$36.36
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.43
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Y
Yes position
Will Enilton Rodrigues win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $68.14
- Potential profit
- $67.77
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.93
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.1
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Yes position
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.33
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$26.5
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $41.45
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.69
Y
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.48
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$14.68
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Y
Yes position
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Y
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.86
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Y
Yes position
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $38.88
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.52
- Potential profit
- $25.52
- User PnL
- -$12.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.52
- Potential profit
- $25.52
- User PnL
- -$12.25
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $24.98
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $24.98
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $24.98
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $24.48
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $24.48
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.46
Over position
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.34
N
No position
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.34
Under position
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.63
Seattle Mariners position
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.44
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.93
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.04
Over position
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.36
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.32
Over position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.23
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 90.8% 5.07 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Yes 1% 9 shares
- Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?Yes 1.1% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 19 shares
- Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?No 1% 20 shares
- Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 1.8% 19 shares
- Will Veneziano Vital do Rêgo win the Governor of Paraíba election?Yes 1.4% 29 shares
- Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 3% 8 shares
- Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes 2.1% 20 shares
- Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes 1.7% 21 shares
- Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 1% 20 shares